Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 1.074639e-03 1.223326e-03 0.001374 0.001537 0.001709 0.001883 0.002073
2025-05-04 8.968814e-04 1.113301e-03 0.001340 0.001594 0.001866 0.002150 0.002465
2025-05-11 6.748650e-04 9.297925e-04 0.001208 0.001528 0.001882 0.002257 0.002681
2025-05-18 4.813053e-04 7.548625e-04 0.001068 0.001440 0.001862 0.002317 0.002840
2025-05-25 3.564677e-04 6.432652e-04 0.000987 0.001409 0.001898 0.002434 0.003056
2025-06-01 2.394133e-04 5.231949e-04 0.000885 0.001344 0.001887 0.002493 0.003205
2025-06-08 1.663174e-04 4.476846e-04 0.000828 0.001326 0.001927 0.002605 0.003410
2025-06-15 1.325658e-04 4.223503e-04 0.000832 0.001379 0.002047 0.002808 0.003715
2025-06-22 8.046206e-05 3.545941e-04 0.000772 0.001349 0.002066 0.002891 0.003883
2025-06-29 5.072844e-05 3.153123e-04 0.000748 0.001359 0.002131 0.003025 0.004107
2025-07-06 4.532257e-05 3.239636e-04 0.000791 0.001457 0.002301 0.003282 0.004471
2025-07-13 1.971459e-05 2.729213e-04 0.000742 0.001431 0.002318 0.003358 0.004625
2025-07-20 1.523292e-07 1.967988e-04 0.000657 0.001372 0.002314 0.003435 0.004814
2025-07-27 NaN 1.712919e-04 0.000651 0.001420 0.002447 0.003678 0.005199
2025-08-03 NaN 1.093848e-04 0.000567 0.001354 0.002434 0.003746 0.005381
2025-08-10 NaN 5.561791e-05 0.000476 0.001268 0.002390 0.003774 0.005515
2025-08-17 NaN 2.817019e-05 0.000425 0.001238 0.002415 0.003885 0.005746
2025-08-24 NaN 6.358665e-06 0.000359 0.001175 0.002394 0.003936 0.005904
2025-08-31 NaN 1.568786e-07 0.000324 0.001158 0.002432 0.004059 0.006147
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.000327 0.001207 0.002562 0.004297 0.006528
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.000289 0.001179 0.002581 0.004395 0.006738
2025-09-21 NaN NaN 0.000273 0.001188 0.002653 0.004558 0.007026
2025-09-28 NaN NaN 0.000300 0.001280 0.002842 0.004870 0.007496